Newspaper Articles

Tagesspiegel Mamdani-Effekt Berlin

Eleven Maps and Charts Show Berlin’s New Political Geography: Young, Left, Migrant – Is It the Mamdani Effect?

Julius Kölzer and Helena Wittlich. Tagesspiegel, September, 2026 (German).

Tagesspiegel Swing States nach der Wahl

Berlin’s “Swing States” After the Election: Almost Every Second Constituency Now Belongs to a Different Party

Julius Kölzer. Tagesspiegel, September, 2026 (German).

Tagesspiegel Swing States Simulation

Simulations Shortly Before the Berlin State Election: These Are Berlin’s “Swing States”

Nina Breher and Julius Kölzer. Tagesspiegel, September, 2026 (German).

Tagesspiegel Berlin Datenanalyse

The Ring Is the New Wall: What 30 Years of Election Results Reveal About a Newly Divided Berlin

Nina Breher and Julius Kölzer. Tagesspiegel, August, 2026 (German).

Zeit Parteimitglieder

Are the Parties Losing Their Members? The Numbers Say Otherwise

Christian Endt, Julius Kölzer, and Michael Schlieben. ZEIT ONLINE, August, 2026 (German).

Zeit Taktisches Wählen

State Elections: The Price of Tactical Voting

Julius Kölzer. ZEIT ONLINE, August, 2026 (German).

Zeit Artikel

“In their eyes, those who have little have only themselves to blame.”

Julius Kölzer and Mark Schieritz. ZEIT ONLINE, September, 2025 (German).

Zeit Ergebnisse

Election Results by Constituency: Where the Election Was Won

Paul Blickle, Christian Endt, Julius Kölzer, and Selina Rudolph. ZEIT ONLINE, February, 2025 (German).

Historical Bundestag Results

Historical Bundestag Election Results: How Your Constituency Has Voted Since 1949

Julius Kölzer, Michael Schlieben, Julius Tröger, and Benja Zehr. ZEIT ONLINE, February, 2025 (German).


Articles and Blogposts

Right on the Money? What income tells us about AfD support

Right on the Money? What income tells us about AfD support

Julius Kölzer. Blog post, October 2026 (in English).

Wohin die Union ihre Wähler verliert

Wohin die Union ihre Wähler verliert – und wen sie zurückholen kann

Julius Kölzer. Blog post, October 2026 (in German).

Saxony-Anhalt state election 2026

Turning Blue? The 2026 State Election in Saxony-Anhalt. A Municipality-Level Analysis and the Revenge of the Village

Julius Kölzer. Blog post, September 2026 (in English).

Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2026

Blaues Land? Landtagswahl 2026 in Sachsen-Anhalt. Eine Analyse des vorläufigen Endergebnisses

Julius Kölzer. Blog post, September 2026 (in German).

Blaue Welle 2

Von der blauen Welle getragen? Räumliche Muster der AfD-Unterstützung bei der Bundestagswahl 2025

Julius Kölzer and Ansgar Hudde. Blog DeFacto (in German).

Blaue Welle 1

Von der blauen Welle getragen? Räumliche Muster der AfD-Unterstützung bei der Bundestagswahl 2025

Julius Kölzer and Ansgar Hudde. Blog Über Politik aus der Wissenschaft, University of Duisburg-Essen (in German).

Industrie

From deindustrialization to populism? How economic change shapes voting behavior

Michael Bayerlein, Julius Kölzer, Anne Metten. Blog of the German Political Science Association (in German).

Macht der blauen Karten

The power of blue maps. Why electoral maps of constituency and municipal winners can distort perceptions

Julius Kölzer, Christian Stecker, Daniel Kuhlen, Leon Siefken. Blog of the German Political Science Association (in German).

Korrelation Hesse

Records in Western Germany – what factors explain the AfD’s gains in Hesse and Bavaria?

Marc Debus, Julius Kölzer, Christian Stecker. Blog of the German Political Science Association (in German).